Greece election: End of the road for Alexis Tsipras’s Syriza?

After a largely lacklustre campaign dominated by disappointment over the pace of the country’s economic recovery, polling stations on Sunday opened across Greece at 7am (04:00 GMT). They will close 12 hours later, when initial exit polls will be published.

Greeks are heading to the polls to elect a new parliament, in a snap vote that all opinion polls predict will put an end to more than four years of leftist rule.

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, 44, called the election three months before the end of his term after his left-wing Syriza suffered a crushing 9.5-percentage point defeat in May’s European Parliament elections.

Waiting in the wings to replace Syriza is the centre-right New Democracy party, led by Kyriakos Mitsotakis, the 51-year-old son of a former prime minister and brother of an ex-foreign minister.

He is seeking an absolute majority in the country’s 300-member parliament, a result that will mark a major shift for the crisis-hit country run for nearly a decade by fragile coalitions of ideologically divergent parties united by their stance either in favour or against Greece’s bailout deals.

Campaign pledges

Public surveys in the lead-up to Sunday’s vote showed New Democracy retaining a firm 8-10 percentage-point lead over Syriza, as well as being able to secure an outright majority.

The projections, coupled with the fact that the election is being held for the first time in the middle of summer, a time when many Greeks are either on holiday or holding temporary tourism jobs far from their homes, has shifted attention on turnout.

Both Tsipras and Mitsotakis have called on their supporters not to assume Sunday’s result is a foregone conclusion and to go out and vote.

Tsipras used the final days of the election campaign on a tour through some of Greece’s biggest cities, insisting he can pull off a comeback.

“The upset will come if everyone and each one of us succeeds in persuading another one to come to the ballot box,” he told supporters in Heraklion, the largest city on the island of Crete, earlier this week.

For his part, Mitsotakis repeated his call for voters to give him a “strong mandate” that will allow his party to implement its manifesto, which is largely focused on introducing tax cuts, attracting much-needed investments and bolstering security.

“Now is the time for responsibility, rallying together and participation,” he said at a campaign rally in Athens on Thursday.

Financial complaints

The election on Sunday comes as Greece still struggles to emerge from a nearly decade-long financial crisis that saw its economy shrink by a whopping 25 percent and hundreds of thousands of mostly young people leave the country in the hopes of better opportunities abroad.

Syriza, which before the crisis was on the fringes of the country’s political landscape, stormed to power in January 2015, replacing a New Democracy-led government amid widespread discontent over years of harsh fiscal measures imposed by Greece’s bailout creditors.

But despite its promises to end austerity, the Syriza-led government seven months later caved in to the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s demands, signing onto a third bailout deal and implementing further tax hikes. Still, it managed to regain power in a snap election in September 2015 and form a coalition government with the nationalist Independent Greeks party.

Greece exited its final bailout last year but is still under financial surveillance from its creditors. Its economy is expected to expand by around two percent in 2019 but financial woes remain, including an unemployment rate of 18 percent, the eurozone’s highest.

Along with the chronic financial grievances, mainly from Greece’s shrinking middle class, Tsipras’s government has also come under fire for mismanaging crises, including the response to a devastating fire near Athens last summer that killed 102 people, and for brokering a widely unpopular deal to resolve a decades-long dispute over the name of neighbouring North Macedonia.

According to official figures, 9,903,864 people, including nearly 520,000 first-time voters are registered to cast ballots. Greeks living abroad are not allowed to vote.

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