13.05.2021

What threatens the EU in the near future?

However, according to the rector of the University of Oxford Chris Patten in his article on Project Syndicate, the EU has far more pressing issues than to mess with Britain.

Reasons for concern in the UK is clear: a growing number of evidence of possible damage to the economy of the Kingdom, caused by the failure of the single market and the customs Union. According to a recent survey by the Centre for European reform, a volume of the British economy has declined by 2.1 per cent from what it would be if the voters voted against secession from the EU. Losses to the state budget amounts to 440 million pounds (579 million U.S. dollars) a week.

the rector of Oxford University, Chris Patten

The lack of information about how to develop Brakcet, bothering the business community. CEO of Siemens in the UK Juergen mayor recently asked British leaders to clarify how will take trade with the EU, insisting on receiving confirmation that the country will remain in the customs Union. Airbus has warned that a complete break with the EU will force it to reconsider its long-term cooperation with the market of the Kingdom, which means the risk of loss of employment for thousands of Britons. BMW confirms its readiness to remain in the country, but warns about a possible increase in their costs.

Such warnings do not cause enthusiasm among the supporters of Breccia. British Secretary of health Jeremy hunt called them “totally inappropriate”, arguing that they “undermine the credibility” of the Prime Minister Theresa may. While undermining their own authority may cope by herself: her statement that “the dividend Breccia” partially go on increase in expenditure on the National health service, was regarded in wider circles as a lie.

But what do you think about all this in the EU? It seems that its leaders had to accept the mood of the British office, because they have little to do with it. Of course, EU leaders are not going to undermine my own success based on the laws of economic model to do something for us. Breaksit will hurt us much more than it will bring damage to the EU.

Do damage to EU, to undermine its very structure is capable of many other problems in the first place – the threat of U.S. President Donald trump’s health and the viability of the transatlantic Alliance, the pillar on which rests the world order after the Second world war. Trump clearly prefer dictators to Democrats and has no consideration to its allies. His praise of North Korean leader Kim Jong Ynu at the summit in Singapore contrasts sharply with his criticism of the Prime Minister of Canada Justin Trudeau after the meeting “Big seven” in Quebec.

Assessment of the impact of duties on exports from the EU and from the USA

One of the most controversial positions of the trump associated with the trade. Fundamentally wrong understanding of the mechanism of its functioning, he determined that it opposes the United States around the world. Instead of strengthening cooperation with Europe and Japan and strengthening the world trade organization, to counter the mercantilism of China, trump decided to act alone, attacking even their closest allies. Such behavior threatens to provoke a full-scale trade war that will hurt everyone, and not least American consumers and industry.

Another pressing problem of Europe is immigration. Earlier this year trump has endorsed an immigration policy of “zero tolerance”: not only to prosecute all adults who cross the border illegally, including those seeking asylum, but also to withdraw their children and keep them separately from their parents (although later he issued an order abolishing the separation of families). Unheard of in any civilized country step! However, some in Europe apparently believe that the erection of barbed wire along the borders (Hungary) or the closing of ports to ships full of refugees (Italy and Malta), is justified.

Such actions, of course, approve of the supporters of the trump. What right-wing populists of Europe are guaranteed to receive words of encouragement and a kind of friendly Pat on the shoulder from a former chief strategist trump Stephen Bannon and even some of the ambassadors of the United States.

Meanwhile, the European Democrats with the civilized view of management is punished. Than Germany deserved Richard Grenelle, who declared his desire “to grant permissions to other conservatives,” as US Ambassador? It seems that in response, the German Chancellor-a centrist Angela Merkel turned away from the trump.

However, detoxification of Europe will require much more than just curse US and to pray for the early care of trump. In fact, the approaches of some EU leaders to such issues as immigration can lead to systemic problems that will remain after the trump return to the game of Golf and courts for bankruptcy. Reasonable European leaders can be forgiven for polite farewell to the UK with the aim to focus on the threats to their long-term cohesion and fundamental values.

The EU has always been proud of the fact that is a community with the values of minority protection and asylum to the poor and the oppressed. In the end, the EU consists of minorities and fully knows what poverty and deprivation.

But what are the common values can be from moderate Democrats like Merkel, Emmanuel Makron (France) and Mark rutte (the Netherlands) with the right-wing leaders of Hungary, Poland, Italy and even Austria? Sebastian Kurz, annoying young Chancellor of Austria, is actively seeking to mobilize opposition against Merkel, although due to its treatment of refugees Austria drowned in the flood of asylum-seekers.

Common sense and experience should tell us that selfish spreading slogans, the violation of the rule of law and the rejection of international obligations are not the ingredients of the recipe for good policy. Macron is right that Hungary’s Viktor Orban and Poland’s Jaroslaw Kaczynski, more should not be allowed to get into the pockets of their more wealthy European partners, while they neglect the values of the EU.

The EU needs to confront their problems cohesive common policy, combining efficiency with basic human decency. For example, in the case of migration, the EU must act as a whole, strengthening their borders – on the one hand, and assisting in the development and assistance in establishment of security in the countries from which people are fleeing on the other. Due to the more stable and open markets, these countries can export their products, not citizens.

As for Britain, we have some extra padding – you only have to worry about her nightmares.

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